Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 4.024187 4.308843 4.613424 4.965259 5.362628 5.800091 6.321701
2025-09-07 3.569108 3.962659 4.410062 4.962907 5.637194 6.446026 7.510924
2025-09-14 3.212397 3.641432 4.146742 4.797243 5.630365 6.688773 8.184099
2025-09-21 2.972735 3.423250 3.968482 4.693434 5.659589 6.948023 8.885772
2025-09-28 2.799912 3.266723 3.844726 4.634874 5.725483 7.245545 9.671583
2025-10-05 2.691466 3.179290 3.796615 4.663611 5.902844 7.710283 10.784967
2025-10-12 2.615800 3.126174 3.785566 4.736214 6.143011 8.292628 12.208596
2025-10-19 2.548926 3.078538 3.775832 4.805846 6.381173 8.900665 13.825234
2025-10-26 2.476631 3.018251 3.743032 4.836619 6.559118 9.432024 15.441892
2025-11-02 2.394739 2.939856 3.679066 4.814224 6.647173 9.817546 16.870658
2025-11-09 2.284429 2.817053 3.545267 4.675873 6.530365 9.814147 17.426166
2025-11-16 2.197813 2.723224 3.447892 4.586364 6.485966 9.938155 18.324901
2025-11-23 2.151280 2.686916 3.436625 4.638292 6.703330 10.632391 21.042221
2025-11-30 2.091224 2.629315 3.391787 4.634882 6.826260 11.169510 23.656599
2025-12-07 1.997432 2.519392 3.263395 4.486433 6.669624 11.086199 24.338918
2025-12-14 1.924730 2.436958 3.172298 4.393215 6.606179 11.198066 25.752596
2025-12-21 1.867489 2.374583 3.108385 4.340572 6.613325 11.470756 27.925137
2025-12-28 1.833465 2.344551 3.092039 4.366411 6.773683 12.135547 32.173026
2026-01-04 1.810884 2.330209 3.098781 4.431646 7.018974 13.069200 38.684629
2026-01-11 1.788874 2.315632 3.104070 4.494152 7.266002 14.076937 47.214445
2026-01-18 1.760398 2.290132 3.090586 4.521756 7.442421 14.942516 56.745155
2026-01-25 1.723414 2.250396 3.052399 4.501668 7.512473 15.518161 65.682235
2026-02-01 1.666758 2.179034 2.960461 4.377433 7.338376 15.303231 67.306277